Wednesday, May 9, 2012
López Obrador again in 2nd place in post-debate survey; is Peña Nieto sweating?
Today's spot poll from Milenio GEA-ISA is more bad news for PAN and leaves little doubt that PRD candidate Andrés Manuel López Obrador is the real second-place contender in Mexico's 2012 presidential race. This was always supposed to be a race just between PRI and PAN, but if Vázquez Mota was going to burst out of the pack she would have done so by now. The campaign is almost half over, and Josefina has failed to move the masses.
Twenty percentage points is still a huge distance to close, but can Enrique Peña Nieto be sleeping well? About that persistent nightmare he has . . . it's Sunday, July 2, 2006 . . . the votes are finally tallied, and the photo-finish result shows Felipe Calderón with 35.89% of the ballots cast and López Obrador, 35.31% (with most of that difference hotly disputed). Millions of voters are yet undecided, and "leftist" AMLO has the attention of many of them.
Way back in September, PRI bosses said their real concern was López Obrador, not any of the PAN candidates. Maybe they were telling the truth. Could this man be the next president of Mexico?: http://mexicogulfreporter.blogspot.mx/2011/09/could-this-man-be-next-president-of.html.
New Alliance Party (PNA) candidate Gabriel Quadri de la Torre, by the way, hit 5% in today's poll, his highest number yet. The dark horses have some momentum, it seems.
Today's poll is based upon interviews conducted May 7-9, during the 72 hour period after the candidates' first debate. All respondents were registered voters who said they intend to cast ballots in the July 1 election.
Mexico's presidential candidates debate: http://mexicogulfreporter.blogspot.mx/2012/05/mexicos-presidential-candidates-debate.html.
Economic inequality the primary cause of Mexico's insecurity, says López Obrador: http://mexicogulfreporter.blogspot.mx/2012/04/economic-inequality-primary-cause-of.html.
Peña Nieto, cayendo en las encuestas, se queja de "una guerra suicia": http://mexicogulfreporter.blogspot.mx/2012/04/pena-nieto-cayendo-en-las-encuestas-se.html.
López Obrador tops Josefina in recent poll; Peña Nieto rides the down elevator: http://mexicogulfreporter.blogspot.mx/2012/04/lopez-obrador-tops-josefina-in-latest.html.
Mexico's presidential campaign begins: http://mexicogulfreporter.blogspot.mx/2012/03/mexicos-presidential-campaign-opens.html#more.
at 5:46 PM